Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.043559 0.050688 0.058520 0.067749 0.078312 0.090011 0.103937
2025-08-03 0.033049 0.042414 0.053643 0.068045 0.085965 0.107466 0.135151
2025-08-10 0.025191 0.035270 0.048325 0.066351 0.090455 0.121412 0.164000
2025-08-17 0.019809 0.029995 0.044130 0.064964 0.094631 0.135047 0.193891
2025-08-24 0.016334 0.026539 0.041601 0.065125 0.100521 0.151277 0.228882
2025-08-31 0.013285 0.023058 0.038336 0.063505 0.103340 0.163179 0.258801
2025-09-07 0.011827 0.021764 0.038102 0.066303 0.112934 0.185843 0.306830
2025-09-14 0.010153 0.019772 0.036377 0.066349 0.118015 0.201911 0.346158
2025-09-21 0.008519 0.017534 0.033850 0.064598 0.119761 0.212618 0.377730
2025-09-28 0.007333 0.015901 0.032110 0.063909 0.123101 0.226099 0.414967
2025-10-05 0.006864 0.015577 0.032714 0.067522 0.134414 0.254165 0.479603
2025-10-12 0.006337 0.015039 0.032809 0.070144 0.144126 0.280233 0.542980
2025-10-19 0.005438 0.013564 0.030864 0.068586 0.145892 0.292408 0.583072
2025-10-26 0.004752 0.012436 0.029464 0.067938 0.149347 0.308041 0.631070
2025-11-02 0.004051 0.011134 0.027486 0.065783 0.149468 0.317267 0.667707
2025-11-09 0.003495 0.010073 0.025872 0.064177 0.150498 0.328291 0.708757
2025-11-16 0.003120 0.009401 0.025049 0.064219 0.155020 0.346690 0.766055
2025-11-23 0.002700 0.008523 0.023589 0.062562 0.155571 0.356887 0.807427
2025-11-30 0.002555 0.008382 0.023939 0.065292 0.166359 0.389656 0.898684
2025-12-07 0.002299 0.007863 0.023237 0.065321 0.170853 0.409212 0.963409
2025-12-14 0.002000 0.007154 0.021915 0.063588 0.170929 0.418996 1.007693
2025-12-21 0.001780 0.006641 0.021044 0.062905 0.173472 0.434523 1.065945
2025-12-28 0.001729 0.006671 0.021717 0.066464 0.187023 0.476504 1.187244